Doug Polk Predictions & Odds· 120 markets

D
Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?

5%

Yes

$6k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%

JD Vance

$708.7m Vol.
$59.9m Liq.
🔥$318k today
1,037
Ends in over 2 years
R
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

51%

J.D. Vance

$707.5m Vol.
$51.7m Liq.
🔥$109k today
441
Ends in about 2 years
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

52%

None before 2027

$73k Vol.
$253k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump publicly praise in September?

60%

Javier Milei

$53k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
S
Surrey Mayoral Election

Surrey Mayoral Election

75%

Brenda Locke

$32k Vol.
$41k Liq.
1
Ends in 24 days
P
Pickering, ON Mayoral Election Winner

Pickering, ON Mayoral Election Winner

69%

Kevin Ashe

$5k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
P
PGA Tour: Wyndham Championship First Round Leader

Sports · Golf

PGA Tour: Wyndham Championship First Round Leader

50%

Beau Hossler

$0 Vol.
$616 Liq.
Ended
N
Next CEO of JPMorgan Chase?

Next CEO of JPMorgan Chase?

50%

Candidate A

$113 Vol.
$32 Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
B
Bachelorette Season 22 Winner

Bachelorette Season 22 Winner

89%

Other (Season Cancelled)

$2.5m Vol.
$61k Liq.
10
Ends in 2 months
S
Singapore Open (Doubles): Routliffe/Sutjiadi vs Garland/Hsieh

Tennis · Sports

Singapore Open (Doubles): Routliffe/Sutjiadi vs Garland/Hsieh

57%

Routliffe/Sutjiadi

$3 Vol.
$677 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
S
Singapore Open (Doubles): Costoulas/Gibson vs Mladenovic/Panova

Tennis · Sports

Singapore Open (Doubles): Costoulas/Gibson vs Mladenovic/Panova

41%

Costoulas/Gibson

$0 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
P
Porto: Naiktha Bains vs Reese Brantmeier

Tennis · Sports

Porto: Naiktha Bains vs Reese Brantmeier

27%

Naiktha Bains

$8k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
I
ITF Hillcrest: Ofek Shimanov vs Preston Brown

Tennis · Sports

ITF Hillcrest: Ofek Shimanov vs Preston Brown

Ofek Shimanov

$9k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
O
Oregon Senate Election Winner

Oregon Senate Election Winner

98%

Jeff Merkley (D)

$7k Vol.
$52k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
F
Florida Senate Election Winner

92%

Ashley Moody (R)

$127k Vol.
$77k Liq.
8
N
Nebraska Governor Election Margin of Victory

Nebraska Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$4k Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
O
Oregon Governor Election Margin of Victory

Oregon Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$7k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

68%

Pete Ricketts (R)

$332k Vol.
$150k Liq.
5
Ends in about 1 month
I
Iowa Senate and Governor Combo

Iowa Senate and Governor Combo

50%

Other

$14k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month