Democratic Primary Predictions & Odds· 508 markets

S
South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary Winner

50%

Candidate A

$13k Vol.
$132k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
N
New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory

98%

Pappas 30–35%

$6k Vol.
$102k Liq.
Ended
F
French Socialist Primary: First Round Winner

89%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$5k Vol.
$51k Liq.
Ends in 19 days
F
France United Left Primary Winner

France United Left Primary Winner

92%

Canceled

$228k Vol.
$91k Liq.
31
Ends in 20 days
F
French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place

68%

Olivier Faure

$5k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 19 days
I
Israel Election: The Democrats vote share?

Israel Election: The Democrats vote share?

40%

7-8%

$361 Vol.
$403 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

30%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
2
Ends in about 2 years
W
Will the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?

34%

Yes

$645 Vol.
$204 Liq.
2
Ends in 19 days
D
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

18%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$1282.8m Vol.
$75.7m Liq.
🔥$660k today
823
Ends in about 2 years
M
Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?

49%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$303 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel Election: Dems # of seats?

Israel Election: Dems # of seats?

26%

10-11

$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
L
LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

3%

Misti Cordell

$64k Vol.
$62k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
D
Delaware Senate Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$3k Vol.
$83k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
V
Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory

Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$3k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?

50%

Other

$12k Vol.
$111k Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
F
Florida Senate Election: Broward County Winner

96%

Angie Nixon (D)

$4k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
D
Dems' best tossup Senate race?

Dems' best tossup Senate race?

37%

Michigan

$4k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$946k Vol.
$144k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
I
Iowa Governor Election Margin of Victory

Iowa Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$4k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month