Crimea Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

U
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

4%

Yes

$75k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

12%

June 30, 2027

$3.9m Vol.
$185k Liq.
491
Ends in 9 months
U
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

3%

Yes

$189k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

8%

Yes

$824k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

4%

Yes

$150k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

8%

Yes

$267k Vol.
$15k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by...?

51%

December 31

$421k Vol.
$13k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

2%

Yes

$964k Vol.
$13k Liq.
12
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine coup attempt by...?

Ukraine coup attempt by...?

6%

Yes

$170k Vol.
$23k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by...?

Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by...?

23%

Yes

$236k Vol.
$202 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?

3%

Yes

$339k Vol.
$20k Liq.
14
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Russia capture Myropillia by...?

17%

Yes

$93k Vol.
$762 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by...?

4%

Yes

$89k Vol.
$890 Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

7%

Yes

$521k Vol.
$43k Liq.
12
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

6%

December 31, 2026

$5.5m Vol.
$72k Liq.
64
Ended
W
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by...?

8%

Yes

$126k Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia strikes another vessel in Black Sea by...?

87%

August 21

$9k Vol.
$162 Liq.
Ended
W
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by...?

6%

Yes

$278k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Russia enter Khatnie by...?

Will Russia enter Khatnie by...?

30%

Yes

$208k Vol.
$902 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by...?

16%

December 31

$55k Vol.
$42k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months