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Claude 5 Predictions & Odds· 234 markets

All Trump AI Anthropic Tech Big Tech Claude Claude 5 Debut Claude Mythos Anthropic IPO GPT 5.6 Sonnet Fable AI Rankings

C

Claude 5 released on...?

No release by February 28

$663k Vol.

$0 Liq.

5

Ended

C

Claude 5 released by…?

September 30, 2026

$4.5m Vol.

$0 Liq.

219

Ended

W

Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?

Yes

$138k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

W

Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?

Yes

$59k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

C

Claude Sonnet 5: Text Arena Debut?

1470+

$25k Vol.

$0 Liq.

7

Ends in 3 months

C

Claude Fable 5 restored for International customers by…?

September 30

$20k Vol.

$0 Liq.

2

Ends in 3 months

C

Claude Mythos 5 access restored by…?

June 30

$345k Vol.

$0 Liq.

46

Ended

U

US government rescinds Claude Fable 5 foreigner ban by…?

June 30

$257k Vol.

$0 Liq.

29

Ended

C

Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?

July 1

$5.4m Vol.

$0 Liq.

535

Ended

B

Best AI model on September 14?

claude-fable-5.1-max

$39k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

B

Best AI model on September 7?

Other

$62k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

B

Best AI model on August 31?

claude-opus-5-max

$71k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

B

Best AI model on August 24?

claude-opus-5-high

$63k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

B

Best AI model on August 17?

claude-opus-5-max

$49k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

B

Best AI model on August 10?

Other

$112k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

B

Best AI model on August 1?

Other

$132k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

B

Best AI model on July 25?

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$10k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

B

Best AI model on July 18?

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$20k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

B

Best AI model on July 11?

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$21k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

B

Best AI model on July 4?

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$45k Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended