Asteroid Predictions & Odds· 111 markets

W
Will NASA estimate a 5% chance of asteroid hitting Earth?

No

$237k Vol.
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W
Will NASA estimate a 4% chance of asteroid hitting Earth?

No

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W
Will NASA estimate a 3% chance of asteroid hitting Earth?

Yes

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P
PGA Awards: Innovation Award Winner

The Wizard of Oz at Sphere

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G
Grammys: Best Rap Song

Grammys: Best Rap Song

"Not Like Us" – Kendrick Lamar

$59k Vol.
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M
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025?

No

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S
SpaceX 4th Starship launch survives re-entry?

Science · outer space

SpaceX 4th Starship launch survives re-entry?

Yes

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5
5kt meteor strike in 2025?

No

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S
Stranded astronauts depart on Boeing Starliner by July 21?

Science · Boeing

Stranded astronauts depart on Boeing Starliner by July 21?

No

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F
friend.tech FDV one day after launch?

<$1b / No token in 2024

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S
Stranded astronauts depart on Boeing Starliner by July 4?

Space · Science

Stranded astronauts depart on Boeing Starliner by July 4?

No

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S
SpaceX 4th Starship launch reaches space?

Science · SpaceX

SpaceX 4th Starship launch reaches space?

Yes

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'
'Argylle' Opening Weekend Box Office

<$20m

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A
Ansem vs. Barney: Will either fighter be hospitalized?

No

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#
# of Elon Musk tweets between April 26 and May 3?

Business · Twitter

# of Elon Musk tweets between April 26 and May 3?

60-79

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S
SpaceX Starship launch by Thursday?

space travel · SpaceX

SpaceX Starship launch by Thursday?

Yes

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# of Elon Musk tweets between May 17 and May 24?

75-84

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#
# of Elon Musk tweets between May 10 and May 17?

<60

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$
$SAFE Market Cap (FDV) one week after launch?

$1-2b

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K
Kentucky Derby Winner

racing · horse racing

Kentucky Derby Winner

Mystik Dan

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