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Approvals Predictions & Odds· 118 markets

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Will RFK end any vaccine approvals by December 31?

RFK · Trump Presidency

Will RFK end any vaccine approvals by December 31?

No

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FDA approvals in July

Tech·Science

FDA approvals in July

TransCon hGH (sBLA)

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Elon Musk's $56bn Tesla pay package approved?

Elon Musk · Tesla

Elon Musk's $56bn Tesla pay package approved?

Yes

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FDA approves Outlook Therapeutics’ ONS-5010 for wet AMD?

Tech·Science

FDA approves Outlook Therapeutics’ ONS-5010 for wet AMD?

No

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FDA approves Viatris' low-dose estrogen weekly patch?

Tech·Medicine

FDA approves Viatris' low-dose estrogen weekly patch?

Yes

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FDA approves FILSPARI REMS modification?

Tech·Science

FDA approves FILSPARI REMS modification?

Yes

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FDA approves PharmaTher Holdings’ Ketamine?

Tech·drug

FDA approves PharmaTher Holdings’ Ketamine?

Yes

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FDA approves PTC Therapeutics’ Vatiquinone for Friedreich’s ataxia?

Tech·Science

FDA approves PTC Therapeutics’ Vatiquinone for Friedreich’s ataxia?

No

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FDA approves Arcalyst technology transfer?

Tech·Science

FDA approves Arcalyst technology transfer?

No

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F
FDA approves EYLEA HD?

Tech·drug

FDA approves EYLEA HD?

No

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F
FDA approves Camurus' Oclaiz?

Tech·drug

FDA approves Camurus' Oclaiz?

No

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FDA approves Donidalorsen?

Tech·Science

FDA approves Donidalorsen?

Yes

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FDA approves Outlook Therapeutics' ONS-5010?

Tech·Medicine

FDA approves Outlook Therapeutics' ONS-5010?

Yes

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FDA approves UX111?

Tech·Science

FDA approves UX111?

No

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FDA approves LENZ Therapeutics’ LNZ100 for presbyopia by August 31?

Tech·Science

FDA approves LENZ Therapeutics’ LNZ100 for presbyopia by August 31?

Yes

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FDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026?

Politics·drug

FDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026?

Yes

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FDA approves Vepdegestrant?

Tech·FDA

FDA approves Vepdegestrant?

Yes

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FDA approves Vera Therapeutics' Atacicept?

Tech·FDA

FDA approves Vera Therapeutics' Atacicept?

Yes

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Biden Approval on Jan 7

Politics·All

Biden Approval on Jan 7

38.5-39.0%

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FDA approves Arcutis' Zoryve cream?

Tech·Science

FDA approves Arcutis' Zoryve cream?

Yes

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