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American Aid Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

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W
Will the US House pass a bill restricting military aid to Israel by September 30?

Politics·house

Will the US House pass a bill restricting military aid to Israel by September 30?

2%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
U
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

Tech·AI

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

16%

Yes

$53k Vol.
$6k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

Tech·AI

US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

9%

Yes

$35k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
A
American aid to Israel by Nov 15?

Politics·All

American aid to Israel by Nov 15?

No

$15k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
A
American aid to Israel by Dec 31?

Politics·All

American aid to Israel by Dec 31?

No

$46k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
A
American aid to Israel by Nov 30?

Politics·All

American aid to Israel by Nov 30?

No

$10k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will Trump audit Ukraine aid before May?

Politics·Ukraine

Will Trump audit Ukraine aid before May?

No

$843k Vol.
$0 Liq.
85
Ended
U
Ukraine aid package in April?

Politics·global politics

Ukraine aid package in April?

Yes

$55k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
Ukraine aid package by March 31?

Geopolitics·All

Ukraine aid package by March 31?

No

$55k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
U
Ukraine aid package in February?

Geopolitics·All

Ukraine aid package in February?

No

$147k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
T
Trump vs. Biden: Who raised more in June?

Politics·Biden

Trump vs. Biden: Who raised more in June?

Biden

$63k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
W
Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July?

Politics·Ukraine

Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July?

Yes

$1.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
105
Ended
W
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31?

All

Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31?

Yes

$462k Vol.
$0 Liq.
134
Ended
U
U.S. military action against Iran by April 15?

Middle East · Gaza

U.S. military action against Iran by April 15?

No

$277k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
Stranded astronauts depart on Boeing Starliner by July 21?

Science · Boeing

Stranded astronauts depart on Boeing Starliner by July 21?

No

$23k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended
B
Border + Ukraine aid deal by Feb 9?

Geopolitics·All

Border + Ukraine aid deal by Feb 9?

No

$75k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
US Congress approve more Ukraine aid in 2023?

Politics·All

US Congress approve more Ukraine aid in 2023?

No

$107k Vol.
$0 Liq.
93
Ended
W
Will Trump cut aid to Jordan or Egypt before March?

Geopolitics·Foreign Policy

Will Trump cut aid to Jordan or Egypt before March?

No

$156k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
S
Stranded astronauts depart on Boeing Starliner by July 4?

Space · Science

Stranded astronauts depart on Boeing Starliner by July 4?

No

$21k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
T
Trump announces cutting all military aid to Ukraine aid before April?

Politics·Trump Presidency

Trump announces cutting all military aid to Ukraine aid before April?

Yes

$968k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9
Ended

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