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538 Predictions & Odds· 181 markets

AllPoliticsJoe BidenDeprec USA ElectionTrumpBidenForecastPublic Opinion538 Approval Rating538KamalaFivethirtyeightPollingFivethrityeightFivethiryeightHorse RaceModelTrump PresidencyApprovalRecurring
W
Will Trump's 538 favorability rating be 37.4% or higher on April 14?

All

Will Trump's 538 favorability rating be 37.4% or higher on April 14?

Yes

$41 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 38.0% or higher on December 12?

Politics·All

Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 38.0% or higher on December 12?

Yes

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
5
538: Will voters prefer Republicans over Democrats by Election Day?

All

538: Will voters prefer Republicans over Democrats by Election Day?

$8k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
5
538: Will voters prefer Democrats or Republicans on Election Day?

All

538: Will voters prefer Democrats or Republicans on Election Day?

$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
5
538: Will voters prefer Republicans or Democrats on September 9?

All

538: Will voters prefer Republicans or Democrats on September 9?

$9k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 42.6% or higher on April 17?

All

Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 42.6% or higher on April 17?

Yes

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
5
538: Will voters prefer Republicans or Democrats on August 15?

All

538: Will voters prefer Republicans or Democrats on August 15?

$6k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will 538 outperform The Economist in forecasting the 2020 Presidential Election?

All

Will 538 outperform The Economist in forecasting the 2020 Presidential Election?

$81k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
T
Trump 538 approval rating on March 7?

Approval · Trump Presidency

Trump 538 approval rating on March 7?

47.5-47.9

$342k Vol.
$0 Liq.
31
Ended
W
Who will lead on 538 on Friday?

Politics·fivethirtyeight

Who will lead on 538 on Friday?

Trump

$92k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended
K
Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% Friday?

Politics·Polling

Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% Friday?

Yes

$39k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
W
Who will 538 project as favorite on July 26?

Politics·deprec USA Election

Who will 538 project as favorite on July 26?

Trump

$12k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
W
Who will 538 project as favorite on Friday?

Politics·Biden

Who will 538 project as favorite on Friday?

Trump

$224k Vol.
$0 Liq.
32
Ended
T
Trump flips Kamala on 538 before October?

Politics·Kamala

Trump flips Kamala on 538 before October?

No

$349k Vol.
$0 Liq.
14
Ended
T
Trump 538 approval rating on Feb 28?

Trump Presidency · Trump

Trump 538 approval rating on Feb 28?

47.5-47.9

$406k Vol.
$0 Liq.
528
Ended
W
Will Biden's 538 approval reach 40% in July?

Politics·Biden

Will Biden's 538 approval reach 40% in July?

No

$22k Vol.
$0 Liq.
10
Ended
5
538 favorite when forecast is turned on?

Politics·Trump

538 favorite when forecast is turned on?

Kamala

$141k Vol.
$0 Liq.
21
Ended
T
Trump 538 approval rating on Feb 21?

Trump Presidency · Trump

Trump 538 approval rating on Feb 21?

48.5-48.9%

$247k Vol.
$0 Liq.
528
Ended
T
Trump 538 approval rating on Feb 14?

Politics·Trump

Trump 538 approval rating on Feb 14?

49% or more

$450k Vol.
$0 Liq.
528
Ended
K
Kamala 538 odds 60%+ on Sept 6?

Politics·fivethrityeight

Kamala 538 odds 60%+ on Sept 6?

No

$109k Vol.
$0 Liq.
13
Ended

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