2024 Republican Presidential Nomination Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

R
Republika Srpska Presidential Election

60%

Savo Minić

$15k Vol.
$163k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?

47%

Yes

$109 Vol.
$49 Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?

2%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 years
W
Which of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?

50%

Other

$12k Vol.
$78k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Reps lose Senate Seat in any Trump+10 State and win in a Kamala State?

44%

Yes

$119 Vol.
$514 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

71%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$291 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
G
GOP's worst Great Plains Senate Race (IA, NE, KS)?

60%

Iowa

$1k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?

50%

Person A

$20k Vol.
$207k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 years
W
Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?

24%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$31k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 years
W
Will Republicans lose any "Safe Republican" Senate race?

25%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala?

36%

2

$30k Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?

98%

JD Vance

$4k Vol.
$58k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Rubio flips Vance for GOP nomination by October 31?

2%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

30%

<22

$697k Vol.
$56k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Jim Jordan run for Republican House Leader?

65%

Yes

$411 Vol.
$88 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
R
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

28%

Below 190

$313k Vol.
$217k Liq.
5
Ends in about 1 month
I
Iowa Governor Election Winner

Iowa Governor Election Winner

83%

Rob Sand (D)

$110k Vol.
$117k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month