2024 Republican Presidential Nomination Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

R
Republika Srpska Presidential Election

60%

Savo Minić

$15k Vol.
$156k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?

28%

Yes

$109 Vol.
$83 Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?

1%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 years
W
Which of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?

50%

Other

$12k Vol.
$76k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

99%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Reps lose Senate Seat in any Trump+10 State and win in a Kamala State?

51%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$159 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

66%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
G
GOP's worst Great Plains Senate Race (IA, NE, KS)?

60%

Iowa

$1k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?

50%

Person A

$20k Vol.
$204k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 years
W
Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?

31%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$52k Liq.
1
Ends in over 2 years
W
Will Republicans lose any "Safe Republican" Senate race?

24%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala?

56%

2

$30k Vol.
$86k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?

96%

JD Vance

$4k Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Rubio flips Vance for GOP nomination by October 31?

2%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

39%

22–23

$697k Vol.
$83k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Jim Jordan run for Republican House Leader?

65%

Yes

$411 Vol.
$84 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
R
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

28%

Below 190

$313k Vol.
$255k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
I
Iowa Governor Election Winner

Iowa Governor Election Winner

85%

Rob Sand (D)

$110k Vol.
$75k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month