2024 Election Predictions & Odds· 1044 markets

B
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

27%

Yes

$3.8m Vol.
$77k Liq.
28
Ended
B
Berlin 2026 Election: How Large Will the Abgeordnetenhaus Be?

100%

158–162

$29k Vol.
$53k Liq.
1
Ended
W
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?

6%

Yes

$25k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Union Centriste Seat Count after French Senate Election?

45%

62-64

$8k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 20 days
N
National Rally Group Seat Count after French Senate Election?

26%

12

$8k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 20 days
B
Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

69%

PL

$118k Vol.
$167k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months
S
SER Seat Count after French Senate Election?

45%

59-61

$13k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in 20 days
L
Les Républicains Seat Count after French Senate Election?

39%

121-124

$17k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 20 days
W
Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?

Trump · Israel

Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?

73%

No Endorsement

$43k Vol.
$115k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
K
Kentucky Governor Election Winner (2027)

Kentucky Governor Election Winner (2027)

83%

Republican

$2k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 1 year
C
California Governor Election Winner

California Governor Election Winner

95%

Xavier Becerra

$41.2m Vol.
$6.5m Liq.
87
Ends in 10 months
A
Arizona Governor Election: Turnout

Arizona Governor Election: Turnout

34%

2.6M-2.75M

$10k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
California Governor Election: Turnout

California Governor Election: Turnout

41%

13M-13.5M

$5k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
G
Georgia Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)

39%

4.2M-4.4M

$7k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
I
Illinois Senate Election: Turnout

Illinois Senate Election: Turnout

40%

4.25M-4.5M

$10k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
O
Oregon Senate Election: Turnout

Oregon Senate Election: Turnout

56%

2M-2.1M

$12k Vol.
$94k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
A
Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)

39%

275K-290K

$9k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
M
Michigan Senate Election: Turnout

Michigan Senate Election: Turnout

28%

4.4M-4.6M

$13k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
P
Pennsylvania Governor Election: Turnout

41%

5M-5.5M

$8k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
I
Iowa Senate Election: Turnout

Iowa Senate Election: Turnout

32%

1.4M-1.45M

$11k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in 6 months