Sonnet 预测与赔率· 130 个市场

C
Claude Sonnet 5: Text Arena Debut?

Claude Sonnet 5: Text Arena Debut?

1470+

$25k 交易量
$0 流动性
7
3 个月后结束
N
Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

June 30

$653k 交易量
$0 流动性
62
已结束
A
Alpha Arena Season 1.5 AI trading competition biggest loser?

xAI

$103k 交易量
$0 流动性
1
A
Alpha Arena Season 1.5 AI trading competition winner?

Unknown

$350k 交易量
$0 流动性
72
A
Alpha Arena AI trading competition biggest loser?

Alpha Arena AI trading competition biggest loser?

OpenAI

$239k 交易量
$0 流动性
8
已结束
A
Alpha Arena AI trading competition winner?

Alpha Arena AI trading competition winner?

Alibaba

$1.0m 交易量
$0 流动性
87
已结束
C
Claude Opus 4.8: Arena Debut?

Claude Opus 4.8: Arena Debut?

<1480

$93k 交易量
$0 流动性
36
C
Claude 4.7 released by...?

Claude 4.7 released by...?

April 30

$359k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
N
Next Claude Opus: Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Opus: Text Arena Debut?

1470+

$233k 交易量
$0 流动性
8
3 个月后结束
C
Claude 4.8 released by...?

Claude 4.8 released by...?

May 31

$681k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
C
Claude Mythos: Text Arena Debut?

Claude Mythos: Text Arena Debut?

1480+

$37k 交易量
$0 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will Claude pass Grok by November 15 on the UnifAI Polyarena?

No

$137k 交易量
$0 流动性
8
已结束
C
Claude Mythos: Coding Arena Debut?

Claude Mythos: Coding Arena Debut?

1520+

$338k 交易量
$0 流动性
3 个月后结束
N
Next Claude Opus released on...?

Next Claude Opus released on...?

July 24

$531k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
N
Next Claude Opus released by...?

Next Claude Opus released by...?

August 31

$1.3m 交易量
$0 流动性
3 个月后结束
N
Next Claude Opus: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

Next Claude Opus: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

35%+

$62k 交易量
$0 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
N
Next Mythos-Class Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Mythos-Class Model: Text Arena Debut?

1470+

$56k 交易量
$0 流动性
3 个月后结束
N
Next Mythos-Class Model: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

Next Mythos-Class Model: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

45%+

$24k 交易量
$0 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will the next Mythos-Class model debut as #1? (Text Arena)

Will the next Mythos-Class model debut as #1? (Text Arena)

Yes

$11k 交易量
$0 流动性
9 个月后结束
C
Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

June 15

$3.3m 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束