Macro Unemployment 预测与赔率· 102 个市场

U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

70%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$99k 交易量
$5k 流动性
7
4 个月后结束
H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

4%

5.0%

$525k 交易量
$14k 流动性
21
6 个月后结束
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

19%

7.4M to 7.5M

$24k 交易量
$9k 流动性
大约 21 小时后结束
W
What will Trump say during the College Football Roundtable on March 6?

Million / Billion / Trillion 8+ times

$362 交易量
$0 流动性
50
已结束
J
January Unemployment Rate

January Unemployment Rate

≤4.0%

$48k 交易量
$0 流动性
45
已结束
P
Powell says "unemployment" 5+ times in FOMC statement?

No

$38k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
N
November Unemployment Rate

November Unemployment Rate

4.2%

$68k 交易量
$0 流动性
45
已结束
W
$20k 交易量
$0 流动性
D
December Unemployment Rate

December Unemployment Rate

≤4.1%

$54k 交易量
$0 流动性
45
已结束
J
January Unemployment Rate

January Unemployment Rate

4.3%

$101k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
U
Unemployment rate over 4.2% in August?

Unemployment rate over 4.2% in August?

No

$18k 交易量
$0 流动性
6
已结束
J
July Unemployment Rate

July Unemployment Rate

4.2%

$38k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
M
May Unemployment Rate

May Unemployment Rate

4.2%

$311k 交易量
$0 流动性
45
已结束
A
April Unemployment Rate

April Unemployment Rate

4.3%

$90k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
D
December Unemployment Rate

December Unemployment Rate

≤4.4%

$74k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
M
March Unemployment Rate

March Unemployment Rate

4.3%

$308k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
J
June Unemployment Rate

June Unemployment Rate

4.1%

$189k 交易量
$0 流动性
6
已结束
U
Unemployment rate over 4.2% in September?

Unemployment rate over 4.2% in September?

No

$16k 交易量
$0 流动性
11
已结束
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 8 - September 15, 2026?

80-99

$17k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
A
August Unemployment Rate

August Unemployment Rate

4.3%

$206k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束