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Fund 预测与赔率· 229 个市场

全部PoliticsCryptoDeprec USA ElectionIranRussiaUkraineFinanceTrumpElectionsFedU.S. PoliticsBlackrockBitcoinDojCaliforniaGDPPeace DealAINegotiation TopicsReferendumCongressAnthropicUS ElectionPopular VoteNuclearSwitzerlandTechMAGAEuMinnesotaFed RatesSenateGeopoliticsEconomyEuropeTrump PresidencyParlaysJerome PowellBuyCrypto PolicyEconomic PolicyWorldBig TechMacro IndicatorsFtcMinnesota UnrestUkraine Peace DealIMFGlobal GDPFed ChairUraniumReferendaU.S. X IranCalifornia MidtermBillEnrichLeopoldAnti Weaponization FundFundAI RegulationClarityClarity ActAI Hedge FundLeopold Aschenbrenner
S
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?

Tech·AI

Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?

5%

Yes

$159k 交易量
$23k 流动性
3 个月后结束
C
California Rainy Day Fund Proposition

Politics·California

California Rainy Day Fund Proposition

68%

Yes

$834 交易量
$130 流动性
6 个月后结束
W
Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?

Politics·Iran

Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?

10%

Yes

$1k 交易量
$9k 流动性
9 天后结束
C
California Clinic Funding Proposition

Politics·California

California Clinic Funding Proposition

25%

Yes

$2k 交易量
$1k 流动性
6 个月后结束
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Politics·Fund

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

20%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$965k 交易量
$306k 流动性
8
3 个月后结束
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

Politics·Fed Rates

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

53%

4.25%

$6.9m 交易量
$433k 流动性
5
3 个月后结束
S
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

Politics·Referenda

Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

72%

VAT federal decree

$9k 交易量
$27k 流动性
2 个月后结束
F
FTC opens investigation into AI book destruction in 2026?

Tech·AI

FTC opens investigation into AI book destruction in 2026?

13%

Yes

$329 交易量
$8k 流动性
3 个月后结束
S
Senate passes Clarity Act by...?

Crypto·bill

Senate passes Clarity Act by...?

6%

October 31

$39k 交易量
$22k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
C
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?

Crypto·bill

Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?

10%

Yes

$22k 交易量
$4k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

Economy·Jerome Powell

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

82%

↑ 4.25%

$1.8m 交易量
$422k 流动性
13
3 个月后结束
W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Politics·Trump

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

99%

Rigetti

$188k 交易量
$9k 流动性
3
3 个月后结束
P
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Parlays · Hide From New

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

96%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$161k 交易量
$12k 流动性
3 个月后结束
2
2026 World GDP Growth

Economy·GDP

2026 World GDP Growth

29%

3.1%

$40k 交易量
$6k 流动性
7 个月后结束
W
Will Founders Fund invest in the next announced Onlyfans fundraising round in 2021?

All

Will Founders Fund invest in the next announced Onlyfans fundraising round in 2021?

$24k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
T
Trump weaponization fund blocked by...?

Politics·Anti-weaponization fund

Trump weaponization fund blocked by...?

May 31

$29k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
D
Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?

Crypto·blackrock

Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?

No

$393k 交易量
$0 流动性
9
已结束
E
EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by…?

Politics·Russia

EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by…?

December 19

$532k 交易量
$0 流动性
79
已结束
S
Somalians who defrauded government to fund terrorists deported?

Politics·Trump

Somalians who defrauded government to fund terrorists deported?

No

$45k 交易量
$0 流动性
12
已结束
T
Trump's sovereign wealth fund acquires Bitcoin before July?

Crypto·Bitcoin

Trump's sovereign wealth fund acquires Bitcoin before July?

No

$84k 交易量
$0 流动性
3
已结束

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