Fivethirtyeight 预测与赔率· 100 个市场

W
Which Senate races will be within 5%?

Which Senate races will be within 5%?

77%

Texas

$68k 交易量
$191k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

Which party will win young men in the midterms?

80%

Democrats

$2k 交易量
$12k 流动性
大约 2 个月后结束
D
Dems' best tossup Senate race?

Dems' best tossup Senate race?

43%

Michigan

$4k 交易量
$47k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
F
Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Top 5 Scoring D/STs

NFL (All) · Sports

Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Top 5 Scoring D/STs

50%

Broncos D/ST

$0 交易量
$60 流动性
4 个月后结束
W
What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

14%

Yes

$22k 交易量
$54 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

96%

China

$2k 交易量
$2k 流动性
7 天后结束
R
Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by...?

41%

October 31

$1k 交易量
$180 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

66%

↓ $7,400

$372k 交易量
$149k 流动性
3 个月后结束
L
Lauren Boebert admits to sex with staffer before midterms?

Lauren Boebert admits to sex with staffer before midterms?

7%

Yes

$1k 交易量
$11k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$14k 交易量
$10k 流动性
2
大约 1 个月后结束
C
CA-05 House Election Margin of Victory

CA-05 House Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$60 交易量
$627 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 14 - September 20)

What will Trump post this week? (September 14 - September 20)

53%

Communist / Communism

$6k 交易量
$378 流动性
大约 8 小时后结束
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$905k 交易量
$261k 流动性
8
3 个月后结束
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 21?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 21?

94%

$740

$1k 交易量
$9k 流动性
1 天后结束
G
GA-05 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

GA-05 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

50%

Person A

$4k 交易量
$44k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
WA-05 House Election Margin of Victory

WA-05 House Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$0 交易量
$586 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
What price will LAB hit in 2026?

What price will LAB hit in 2026?

6%

↑ $22

$46k 交易量
$20k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
What will MicroStrategy (MSTR) hit in September 2026?

51%

↑ $160

$1k 交易量
$16 流动性
10 天后结束
W
What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in September 2026?

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in September 2026?

77%

↑ $224

$59k 交易量
$152k 流动性
10 天后结束
W
Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?

25%

Yes

$10 交易量
$659 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束