Federal 预测与赔率· 1746 个市场

W
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

14%

Yes

$83k 交易量
$14k 流动性
4
3 个月后结束
F
Federal District Governor Election Winner

Federal District Governor Election Winner

89%

Celina Leão

$18k 交易量
$97k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District

79%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$35k 交易量
$178k 流动性
11 天后结束
F
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

1%

Yes

$3k 交易量
$9k 流动性
8 天后结束
F
Federal District Senate Election: 2nd Place

Federal District Senate Election: 2nd Place

59%

Bia Kicis

$48k 交易量
$101k 流动性
1
11 天后结束
C
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

13%

Yes

$648 交易量
$8k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束
F
Federal District Senate Election: 1st Place

Federal District Senate Election: 1st Place

88%

Michelle Bolsonaro

$30k 交易量
$107k 流动性
1
11 天后结束
D
Daejon Love pleads guilty to federal crime by...?

Daejon Love pleads guilty to federal crime by...?

62%

June 30, 2027

$328 交易量
$402 流动性
9 个月后结束
W
Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?

24%

Yes

$10 交易量
$616 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
F
Federal capital gains taxes be cut by 2026?

Federal capital gains taxes be cut by 2026?

12%

Yes

$345 交易量
$220 流动性
3 个月后结束
F
Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?

Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?

2%

Yes

$38k 交易量
$18k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

52%

≥ 4.5%

$6.9m 交易量
$453k 流动性
5
3 个月后结束
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

27%

5.5%

$2k 交易量
$9k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

99%

Rigetti

$188k 交易量
$8k 流动性
3
3 个月后结束
S
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

63%

VAT federal decree

$9k 交易量
$24k 流动性
2 个月后结束
W
Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?

59%

December 31

$27k 交易量
$13k 流动性
3 个月后结束
G
Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?

14%

Yes

$3k 交易量
$8k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束
J
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

1%

Yes

$319k 交易量
$2k 流动性
33
3 个月后结束
M
Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?

Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?

7%

Yes

$78k 交易量
$2k 流动性
4
3 个月后结束
E
E. Jean Carroll federally charged by...?

E. Jean Carroll federally charged by...?

27%

Yes

$1k 交易量
$15 流动性
3 个月后结束