Deprec US Election 预测与赔率· 414 个市场

W
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

64%

Democratic

$2.3m 交易量
$452k 流动性
94
大约 2 年后结束
W
Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?

Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?

50%

Person A

$20k 交易量
$161k 流动性
1
大约 2 年后结束
W
Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?

Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?

28%

Yes

$1k 交易量
$32k 流动性
1
超过 2 年后结束
P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%

JD Vance

$707.2m 交易量
$60.2m 流动性
🔥$291k 今日
1,033
大约 2 年后结束
W
Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?

25%

Yes

$10 交易量
$602 流动性
大约 2 个月后结束
W
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?

7%

Yes

$25k 交易量
$9k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$14k 交易量
$10k 流动性
2
大约 1 个月后结束
2
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

46%

Other

$139k 交易量
$247k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
2
2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

23%

125-130m

$29k 交易量
$113k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

97%

Yes

$15k 交易量
$742 流动性
2
4 个月后结束
C
Closest Senate Race?

Closest Senate Race?

14%

Iowa

$45k 交易量
$149k 流动性
大约 2 个月后结束
C
Closest Governor's Race?

Closest Governor's Race?

14%

Alaska

$20k 交易量
$133k 流动性
大约 2 个月后结束
W
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

50%

Yes

$9k 交易量
$158 流动性
4 个月后结束
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

88%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$339k 交易量
$62k 流动性
12
大约 1 个月后结束
H
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Nevada?

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Nevada?

73%

3

$16k 交易量
$42k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
H
How many House seats will the Democrats win in North Carolina?

How many House seats will the Democrats win in North Carolina?

38%

5

$13k 交易量
$46k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Will the next elected US president be a woman?

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

22%

Yes

$14k 交易量
$10k 流动性
3
超过 2 年后结束
H
How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala?

47%

2

$29k 交易量
$70k 流动性
大约 2 个月后结束
H
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Wisconsin?

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Wisconsin?

44%

3

$5k 交易量
$20k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
H
How many House seats will the Democrats win in New York?

How many House seats will the Democrats win in New York?

36%

20

$8k 交易量
$57k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束