Debt Ceiling 预测与赔率· 105 个市场

P
Peak US National Debt before 2027?

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

57%

$41 trillion

$19k 交易量
$5k 流动性
3 个月后结束
A
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

8%

Yes

$14k 交易量
$410 流动性
3 个月后结束
E
EU debt downgrade before 2027?

Economy · World

EU debt downgrade before 2027?

24%

Yes

$1k 交易量
$122 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
U
US defaults on debt by 2027?

US defaults on debt by 2027?

2%

Yes

$18k 交易量
$3k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

$17k 交易量
$722 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$974k 交易量
$310k 流动性
8
3 个月后结束
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

83%

Yes

$796k 交易量
$40k 流动性
3 个月后结束
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

93%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$342k 交易量
$36k 流动性
12
4 个月后结束
W
What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

17%

↓ 2 ETH

$4k 交易量
$403 流动性
5
3 个月后结束
S
Social Security Insolvent by...?

Social Security Insolvent by...?

17%

December 31, 2028

$929 交易量
$3k 流动性
1
超过 2 年后结束
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

66%

Democrats Sweep

$13.4m 交易量
$1.8m 流动性
🔥$223k 今日
299
3 个月后结束
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

97%

Yes

$15k 交易量
$874 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
R
Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?

98%

Yes

$70k 交易量
$28k 流动性
8
已结束
H
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

72%

5.40%

$51k 交易量
$12k 流动性
3 个月后结束
H
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

69%

4.95%

$27k 交易量
$3k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
White House # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

54%

200+

$364 交易量
$4k 流动性
10 天后结束
H
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?

43%

5.05%

$63k 交易量
$3k 流动性
8 天后结束
H
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?

22%

5.39%

$40k 交易量
$5k 流动性
8 天后结束
H
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?

64%

Yes

$22k 交易量
$205 流动性
8 天后结束
H
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

70%

5.1%

$538k 交易量
$51k 流动性
3 个月后结束