Debt Ceiling 预测与赔率· 104 个市场

E
EU debt downgrade before 2027?

Economy · World

EU debt downgrade before 2027?

22%

Yes

$1k 交易量
$124 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
A
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

8%

Yes

$14k 交易量
$421 流动性
3 个月后结束
U
US defaults on debt by 2027?

US defaults on debt by 2027?

2%

Yes

$18k 交易量
$3k 流动性
3 个月后结束
P
Peak US National Debt before 2027?

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

57%

$41 trillion

$18k 交易量
$2k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

$17k 交易量
$1k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$943k 交易量
$266k 流动性
8
3 个月后结束
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

82%

Yes

$793k 交易量
$39k 流动性
3 个月后结束
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

93%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$342k 交易量
$54k 流动性
12
大约 1 个月后结束
S
Social Security Insolvent by...?

Social Security Insolvent by...?

17%

December 31, 2028

$394 交易量
$3k 流动性
1
超过 2 年后结束
W
What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

17%

↓ 2 ETH

$4k 交易量
$401 流动性
5
3 个月后结束
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

61%

Democrats Sweep

$12.8m 交易量
$1.3m 流动性
🔥$154k 今日
292
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

96%

Yes

$15k 交易量
$9k 流动性
2
4 个月后结束
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

Which party will win young men in the midterms?

80%

Democrats

$2k 交易量
$14k 流动性
大约 2 个月后结束
R
Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?

Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?

72%

Yes

$10k 交易量
$1k 流动性
6
大约 5 小时后结束
H
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

83%

5.40%

$33k 交易量
$13k 流动性
3 个月后结束
H
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?

60%

5.39%

$37k 交易量
$6k 流动性
10 天后结束
H
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

73%

5.1%

$529k 交易量
$39k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?

Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?

7%

Yes

$3k 交易量
$417 流动性
5 个月后结束
W
What price will LAB hit in 2026?

What price will LAB hit in 2026?

6%

↑ $22

$46k 交易量
$14k 流动性
3 个月后结束
P
PPI YoY - September 2026

PPI YoY - September 2026

34%

5.9%+

$12k 交易量
$7k 流动性
25 天后结束