Climate Science 预测与赔率· 102 个市场

W
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?

Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?

10%

Yes

$14k 交易量
$8k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

23%

Yes

$43 交易量
$327 流动性
9 个月后结束
F
First snow of the 2026 season

First snow of the 2026 season

99%

Denver, CO by November 30

$12k 交易量
$8k 流动性
1
2 个月后结束
S
September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

52%

1.35–1.39ºC

$2k 交易量
$14k 流动性
18 天后结束
W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

75%

1

$3.5m 交易量
$265k 流动性
27
3 个月后结束
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

20%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$948k 交易量
$139k 流动性
8
3 个月后结束
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m 交易量
$317 流动性
135
3 个月后结束
S
September 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?

97%

2nd hottest

$4k 交易量
$4k 流动性
9 天后结束
W
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

94%

Yes

$9k 交易量
$2k 流动性
6 个月后结束
W
What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?

What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?

77%

Over 2.5

$50k 交易量
$14k 流动性
6 个月后结束
W
What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

43%

↓ 0.40

$79k 交易量
$2k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

$17k 交易量
$813 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Where will it rain on September 22?

Where will it rain on September 22?

84%

Washington, DC

$200 交易量
$518 流动性
2 天后结束
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

38%

December 31, 2027

$567k 交易量
$4k 流动性
38
超过 1 年后结束
W
Where will it rain on September 21?

Where will it rain on September 21?

100%

New York, NY

$7k 交易量
$1k 流动性
大约 21 小时后结束
W
What price will Plasma hit in 2026?

What price will Plasma hit in 2026?

28%

↑ 0.30

$304k 交易量
$948 流动性
10
3 个月后结束
W
Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?

Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?

76%

Yes

$839 交易量
$575 流动性
6 个月后结束
M
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

7%

Yes

$147k 交易量
$10k 流动性
9
6 个月后结束
W
Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?

98%

Yes

$2k 交易量
$785 流动性
9 天后结束
W
What will SpaceX (SPCX) hit in September 2026?

What will SpaceX (SPCX) hit in September 2026?

57%

↑ $160

$3k 交易量
$6k 流动性
9 天后结束