China 预测与赔率· 2634 个市场

W
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%

Yes

$42.6m 交易量
$579k 流动性
73
3 个月后结束
U
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

91%

December 31

$273k 交易量
$79k 流动性
3 个月后结束
C
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

6%

Yes

$3.4m 交易量
$97k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

0%

Yes

$2.2m 交易量
$100k 流动性
8 天后结束
W
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

9%

Yes

$455k 交易量
$91k 流动性
9 个月后结束
U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

10%

Yes

$36k 交易量
$24k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

12%

Yes

$3.2m 交易量
$190k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
C
China x Japan military clash before 2027?

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

6%

Yes

$1.4m 交易量
$54k 流动性
31
3 个月后结束
C
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

27%

Yes

$483k 交易量
$17k 流动性
3 个月后结束
U
US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?

US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?

5%

Yes

$9k 交易量
$610 流动性
8 天后结束
U
U.S. tariff rate on China on December 31, 2026?

U.S. tariff rate on China on December 31, 2026?

27%

25–35%

$291 交易量
$17k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束
C
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?

36%

4.3-4.6%

$46k 交易量
$9k 流动性
28 天后结束
W
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

3%

Yes

$370k 交易量
$42k 流动性
3 个月后结束
P
People's Bank of China rate change by September 30?

People's Bank of China rate change by September 30?

99%

No Change

$55k 交易量
$5k 流动性
7 天后结束
C
China ballistic missile launch by December 31?

China ballistic missile launch by December 31?

28%

Yes

$12k 交易量
$768 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

3%

Yes

$1.1m 交易量
$21k 流动性
13
3 个月后结束
C
China coup attempt before 2027?

China coup attempt before 2027?

5%

Yes

$159k 交易量
$29k 流动性
3 个月后结束
H
How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?

39%

8

$58k 交易量
$14k 流动性
9 个月后结束
U
US x China Military clash before 2027?

US x China Military clash before 2027?

3%

Yes

$213k 交易量
$24k 流动性
13
3 个月后结束
R
Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by...?

Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by...?

16%

December 31

$3k 交易量
$28k 流动性
3 个月后结束