China Talk 预测与赔率· 106 个市场

W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$1.1m 交易量
$265k 流动性
8
3 个月后结束
W
Will Trump insult Xi by end of US Visit?

Will Trump insult Xi by end of US Visit?

1%

Yes

$5k 交易量
$12k 流动性
13 天后结束
U
US x China Military clash before 2027?

US x China Military clash before 2027?

3%

Yes

$213k 交易量
$23k 流动性
13
3 个月后结束
W
Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

9%

Dong Jun

$227k 交易量
$113k 流动性
19
3 个月后结束
C
China x India military clash by...?

China x India military clash by...?

7%

Yes

$331k 交易量
$13k 流动性
16
3 个月后结束
C
China coup attempt before 2027?

China coup attempt before 2027?

4%

Yes

$159k 交易量
$28k 流动性
3 个月后结束
C
China x Japan military clash before 2027?

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

6%

Yes

$1.4m 交易量
$58k 流动性
31
3 个月后结束
W
Who will Trump speak to in September?

Who will Trump speak to in September?

44%

Ursula von der Leyen

$195k 交易量
$100k 流动性
6 天后结束
R
Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by...?

Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by...?

8%

December 31

$5k 交易量
$27k 流动性
3 个月后结束
T
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

82%

Moonshot

$65k 交易量
$17k 流动性
5 天后结束
C
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

27%

Yes

$483k 交易量
$20k 流动性
3 个月后结束
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

77%

Z.ai

$138k 交易量
$17k 流动性
5 天后结束
W
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

13%

#3

$247k 交易量
$24k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

92%

Alibaba

$630k 交易量
$98k 流动性
5 天后结束
T
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

50%

Other

$18k 交易量
$3k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
T
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of Xi summit?

1%

Yes

$37k 交易量
$30k 流动性
13 天后结束
T
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

50%

Other

$2k 交易量
$2k 流动性
2 个月后结束
X
Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

4%

Yes

$13.9m 交易量
$525k 流动性
709
3 个月后结束
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

50%

Other

$33k 交易量
$5k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

50%

Other

$4k 交易量
$4k 流动性
2 个月后结束