Associated Press 预测与赔率· 154 个市场

W
Will the Associated Press publish a tweet calling the 2020 US presidential election before November 6?
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A
Associated Press declares winner before 3am on Nov 6?

No

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W
Which major outlets will lose Pentagon press pass by Dec 31?

The New York Times

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W
When will the AP call the Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary?

Before 4 AM Aug 12

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W
When will the AP call the NYC mayoral election?

9–10 PM

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W
When will the AP call the New Jersey governor election?

9–10 PM

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When will the AP call the Virginia governor election?

7–8 PM

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# of Andrew Tate tweets between May 22 and May 29?

105+

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W
What day will the AP call the election?

Wednesday, Nov 6

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# of Andrew Tate tweets between May 29 and June 5?

120-139

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T
Trump vs. Biden RCP polling margin on May 31?

Trump by 0.8-1.1

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T
Trump vs. Biden RCP polling margin on April 5?

Trump by <1.4 (or Biden ahead)

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# of Andrew Tate tweets between June 12 and June 19?

260+

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#
# of Elon Musk tweets between April 26 and May 3?

Business · Twitter

# of Elon Musk tweets between April 26 and May 3?

60-79

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W
What will Biden say during Immunity Speech today?

Democracy

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# of Elon Musk tweets between May 17 and May 24?

# of Elon Musk tweets between May 17 and May 24?

75-84

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E
Elon Musk # of tweets June 7-14?

Elon Musk # of tweets June 7-14?

70-79

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E
Elon Musk # of tweets July 19-26?

Elon Musk # of tweets July 19-26?

100-109

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#
# of Elon Musk tweets between May 10 and May 17?

# of Elon Musk tweets between May 10 and May 17?

<60

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E
Elon Musk # of tweets July 5 - July 12?

Elon Musk # of tweets July 5 - July 12?

70-79

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