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49 results for Derivatives

AllPoliticsDeprec USA ElectionIranTrumpElectionsMiddle EastFedUnited StatesCelebritiesDebateCongressCultureUS ElectionGlobal ElectionsFed RatesGeopoliticsKamalaEconomyPollingDerivativesDenmarkMagazinePotyRomaniaGov ShutdownJerome PowellGreenlandWorldMidtermsKhameneiBucharest MayorTime POTYAli Khamenei
F
Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?

Politics·deprec USA Election

Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?

Trump

$7.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
124
Ended
F
Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?

Politics·Kamala

Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?

Trump

$5.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
33
Ended
F
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

Politics·Debate

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

Kamala

$5.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
400
Ended
F
Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?

Politics·deprec USA Election

Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?

Kamala

$2.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
124
Ended
J
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by Feb 20?

Politics·Derivatives

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by Feb 20?

>5%

$2.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?

Culture·Celebrities

Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?

Yes

$1.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
O
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit __ by March 31?

Geopolitics·Derivatives

Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit __ by March 31?

50%

$1.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
O
Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over__ in February?

Geopolitics·Middle East

Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over__ in February?

>30%

$809k Vol.
$0 Liq.
63
Ended
U
US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday?

World·Derivatives

US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday?

Yes

$767k Vol.
$0 Liq.
20
Ended
J
Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?

Culture·Derivatives

Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?

No

$665k Vol.
$0 Liq.
104
Ended
W
Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?

Politics·deprec USA Election

Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?

Yes

$576k Vol.
$0 Liq.
71
Ended
O
Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over__ in February?

Geopolitics·Middle East

Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over__ in February?

>15%

$563k Vol.
$0 Liq.
21
Ended
R
Republican 2026 Senate odds hit___ by March 31?

Elections·Derivatives

Republican 2026 Senate odds hit___ by March 31?

↓ 60%

$528k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
O
Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 50% by January 16?

Geopolitics·Iran

Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 50% by January 16?

No

$513k Vol.
$0 Liq.
39
Ended
O
Odds of Khamenei out by February over__ in January?

Politics·Derivatives

Odds of Khamenei out by February over__ in January?

>50%

$385k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
F
Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?

Economy·Fed

Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?

25bps cut

$368k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
G
Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?

Politics·Derivatives

Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?

Yes

$347k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
R
Republican 2026 House odds hit___ by March 31?

Elections·United States

Republican 2026 House odds hit___ by March 31?

↑ 25%

$322k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
O
Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?

Politics·Ali Khamenei

Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?

No

$226k Vol.
$0 Liq.
31
Ended
W
Will Baluta flip Ciucu for Bucharest Mayor by Saturday?

World·Romania

Will Baluta flip Ciucu for Bucharest Mayor by Saturday?

Yes

$216k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended