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16 results for Nate Silver

AllPoliticsDeprec USA ElectionTrumpU.S. PoliticsUS ElectionSwing StatesSenateRFK538KamalaFivethirtyeightTrending MarketsHarrisRcpReal ClearPollingPollNate SilverHorse RaceGaySteinQueerMovMargin Of VictoryOpinionGreenTurnoutDemographicFemaleExit PollCat LadyDemographicsAPJillKennedyRobertLibertarianTransElection NightVotesCalledThirdTwoCreatorsTrump PresidencyApprovalRecurringMidterms
W
Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?

Politics·RFK

Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?

Yes

$9.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,835
Ended
R
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?

Politics·deprec USA Election

Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?

No

$5.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
650
Ended
W
Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?

Politics·deprec USA Election

Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?

Alaska

$1.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
521
Ended
T
Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Politics·Polling

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Harris by 1.5-1.9

$1.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
136
Ended
W
Who will win white women?

Politics·deprec USA Election

Who will win white women?

Trump

$596k Vol.
$0 Liq.
67
Ended
T
Trump approval rating on March 28?

Politics·Approval

Trump approval rating on March 28?

47.0-47.4

$308k Vol.
$0 Liq.
528
Ended
W
Will Trump do better with LGTBQ voters than in 2020?

Politics·gay

Will Trump do better with LGTBQ voters than in 2020?

No

$264k Vol.
$0 Liq.
20
Ended
K
Kamala Silver Bulletin odds >60% on Friday?

Politics·Nate Silver

Kamala Silver Bulletin odds >60% on Friday?

No

$209k Vol.
$0 Liq.
22
Ended
T
Trump Silver Bulletin odds >50% on Friday?

Politics·Polling

Trump Silver Bulletin odds >50% on Friday?

No

$207k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended
T
Trump flips Kamala on Silver Bulletin before the election?

Politics·Nate Silver

Trump flips Kamala on Silver Bulletin before the election?

Yes

$184k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
T
Trump approval rating on March 21?

Politics·Trump

Trump approval rating on March 21?

47.5-47.9

$162k Vol.
$0 Liq.
528
Ended
A
Associated Press declares winner before 3am on Nov 6?

Politics·deprec USA Election

Associated Press declares winner before 3am on Nov 6?

No

$118k Vol.
$0 Liq.
20
Ended
T
Trump approval rating on March 14?

Politics·Trump

Trump approval rating on March 14?

47.5-47.9%

$96k Vol.
$0 Liq.
528
Ended
W
Will Kamala do better in Georgia or Wisconsin?

Politics·deprec USA Election

Will Kamala do better in Georgia or Wisconsin?

Wisconsin

$41k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
K
Kamala Silver Bulletin odds >55% Friday?

Politics·Nate Silver

Kamala Silver Bulletin odds >55% Friday?

No

$39k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended
R
Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by...?

Politics·Senate

Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by...?

40%

September 30

$1k Vol.
$142 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month