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AllPoliticsIranWarRussiaUkraineBusinessFinanceTrumpElectionsMiddle EastNATOMilitaryZelenskyyPutinWorld AffairsReferendumInflationUKGlobal PoliticsFranceEuGlobal ElectionsGermanyEuropean Union GeopoliticsEconomyFrenchEuropeECBMoldovaGerman PoliticsMacro SingleRomaniaDeprec German ElectionCPIRecurringEconomic PolicyWorldMacro IndicatorsTrump ZelenskyySecurity GuaranteeUkraine Peace DealGlobal RatesRomania Government
N
Next Romania PM appointed by…?

Politics·eu

Next Romania PM appointed by…?

77%

December 31

$34k Vol.
$21k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
E
European military action against Iran by...?

Geopolitics·UK

European military action against Iran by...?

8%

December 31

$326k Vol.
$27k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
E
Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

Economy·Macro Indicators

Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

89%

3.1%+

$116k Vol.
$37k Liq.
3
Ends in 4 months
(
(Old) Romania Election

eu · Europe

(Old) Romania Election

Other (incl. Georgescu)

$371.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
10,491
Ended
E
ECB Interest Rates: March 2025

Economy·ECB

ECB Interest Rates: March 2025

25 bps decrease

$952k Vol.
$0 Liq.
116
Ended
S
Scholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024?

Geopolitics·Global Elections

Scholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024?

No

$627k Vol.
$0 Liq.
67
Ended
E
EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by…?

Politics·Russia

EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by…?

December 19

$532k Vol.
$0 Liq.
79
Ended
N
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

Politics·Ukraine

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

5%

Yes

$482k Vol.
$10k Liq.
14
Ends in 3 months
E
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

World·Trump

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

4%

Yes

$462k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine before July?

Geopolitics·All

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine before July?

No

$229k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9
Ended
W
Will Moldova's EU membership referendum pass?

Politics·Global Elections

Will Moldova's EU membership referendum pass?

Yes

$223k Vol.
$0 Liq.
97
Ended
M
More EU sanctions on Russia by...?

World·world affairs

More EU sanctions on Russia by...?

October 31

$210k Vol.
$0 Liq.
84
Ended
M
Macron out as president of France in 2024?

Geopolitics·french

Macron out as president of France in 2024?

No

$206k Vol.
$0 Liq.
17
Ended
E
ECB rate hike in 2026?

Economy·Global Rates

ECB rate hike in 2026?

Yes

$166k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
E
EU sanctions on Iran by September 30?

World·Middle East

EU sanctions on Iran by September 30?

Yes

$114k Vol.
$0 Liq.
77
Ended
I
Irakli Kobakhidze out as Georgia PM in 2024?

Politics·eu

Irakli Kobakhidze out as Georgia PM in 2024?

No

$73k Vol.
$0 Liq.
35
Ended
W
Will EU increase sanctions on Russia before July?

World·world affairs

Will EU increase sanctions on Russia before July?

Yes

$63k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended
M
More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?

Politics·Russia

More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?

Yes

$45k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
V
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?

Politics·Europe

Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?

6%

Yes

$43k Vol.
$14k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
E
ECB rate cut in 2026?

Economy·Global Rates

ECB rate cut in 2026?

5%

Yes

$33k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months