20 results for AI Safety

W
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

51%

Anthropic

$14k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

27%

Google

$85k Vol.
$6k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
O
OpenAI resumes training on...?

OpenAI resumes training on...?

43%

October 2

$778 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 24 days
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

27%

October 15

$5k Vol.
$992 Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
C
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

45%

Yes

$782 Vol.
$266 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
A
Astra removed from public access by...?

Astra removed from public access by...?

8%

October 31

$3k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?

14%

Meta

$4k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

17%

Yes

$38k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

7%

Yes

$46k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

1%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$674 Liq.
Ends in 4 days
U
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

16%

Yes

$53k Vol.
$7k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

12%

Yes

$173k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

7%

Yes

$42k Vol.
$8k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

9%

Yes

$35k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
E
Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

1%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
U
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

7%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
D
Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?

Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?

3%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$718 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026?

14%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$346 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?

OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?

42%

Yes

$850 Vol.
$150 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?

20%

Yes

$114 Vol.
$257 Liq.
Ends in 3 months