65 results for Derivatives

L
Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by...?

45%

October 15

$15k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 17 days
L
Lula or Bolsonaro favored on...?

Lula or Bolsonaro favored on...?

19%

October 5

$16k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
R
Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?

Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?

98%

↓ 8%

$65k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
No change flips Hike 25 bps for October Fed by...?

26%

October 15

$15k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 17 days
D
Democratic Senate odds on October 2?

39%

62-64%

$1k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
R
Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?

14%

Yes

$6k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?

Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?

48%

↑ 40%

$33k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Senate control favorite on November 2?

Senate control favorite on November 2?

87%

Democratic Party

$784 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
D
Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?

50%

Person A

$15k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?

98%

JD Vance

$4k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
House control favorite on November 2?

House control favorite on November 2?

97%

Democratic Party

$2k Vol.
$77k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?

27%

No change

$3k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
H
House favorite on November 2 wins the election?

93%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
F
Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?

Trump

$7.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
124
Ended
F
Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?

Trump

$5.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
33
Ended
F
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

Kamala

$5.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
400
Ended
F
Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?

Kamala

$2.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
124
Ended
W
Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?

Yes

$1.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended