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19 results for Kevin Warsh

AllPoliticsBusinessFinanceTrumpFederal ReserveFedUnited StatesCultureFed RatesEconomyFOMCMacro SingleParlaysJpowRecurringEconomic PolicyMacro IndicatorsTreasuriesGlobal RatesRateFed ChairWarshKevin WarshCPI ReleaseUS Inflation August
F
Fed Decision in October?

Economy·Fed

Fed Decision in October?

65%

25 bps increase

$11.6m Vol.
$2.7m Liq.
🔥$1.3m today
Ends in about 1 month
H
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

Economy·Fed Rates

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

77%

5.2%

$603k Vol.
$31k Liq.
🔥$63k today
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Economy·Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

96%

0 (0 bps)

$53.3m Vol.
$4.3m Liq.
121
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed Decision in December?

Economy·Fed

Fed Decision in December?

71%

25 bps increase

$1.3m Vol.
$917k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

Fed · Rate

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

55%

2 (50 bps)

$638k Vol.
$261k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Economy·Fed

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

91%

Yes

$149k Vol.
$197k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

40%

Hike–Hike–Hike

$121k Vol.
$247k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

Economy·Fed Rates

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

87%

↑ 4.25%

$1.9m Vol.
$403k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

Politics·Fed Rates

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

48%

≥ 4.5%

$6.9m Vol.
$437k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
H
How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?

Fed · jpow

How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?

42%

0

$19k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
F
Fed Decision in January?

Economy·Fed

Fed Decision in January?

56%

No change

$111k Vol.
$485k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
H
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

Fed · jpow

How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

41%

0

$20k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed rate cut by...?

Finance·Fed

Fed rate cut by...?

49%

July 2027 Meeting

$3.7m Vol.
$184k Liq.
31
Ends in over 1 year
H
How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?

Fed · jpow

How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?

44%

0

$7k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Trump publicly insults Warsh by...?

Culture·Fed

Trump publicly insults Warsh by...?

20%

December 31

$5k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

Politics·Fed

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

21%

4.5%

$60 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

Economy·Fed

Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

10%

June 30, 2027

$48k Vol.
$79k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
T
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

Economy·Fed

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

1%

Yes

$30k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed abolished before 2027?

Politics·Trump

Fed abolished before 2027?

2%

Yes

$8k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months