Vote Predictions & Odds· 1845 markets

W
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

16%

Josh Hawley

$174k Vol.
$62k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share?

87%

39%+

$78k Vol.
$202k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Renan Santos Vote Share?

25%

2-4%

$94k Vol.
$147k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share?

55%

44%+

$12k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
R
Russia Election: United Russia (ER) Vote Share?

100%

55-60%

$84k Vol.
$81k Liq.
Ended
2
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

46%

Other

$141k Vol.
$259k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Augusto Cury Vote Share?

40%

4-6%

$13k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

7%

Yes

$303k Vol.
$76k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel Election: Shas vote share?

Israel Election: Shas vote share?

46%

<6%

$872 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel Election: United Torah Judaism vote share?

43%

6-7%

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

9%

Above 66

$113k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel Election: Religious Zionist Party–Zehut vote share?

33%

6%+

$1k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Green Vote Share?

23%

35-40%

$4k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
V
Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?

50%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel Election: Unity vote share?

Israel Election: Unity vote share?

99%

<0.5%

$2k Vol.
$43k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel Election: The Joint List vote share?

Israel Election: The Joint List vote share?

39%

6.5-7.5%

$934 Vol.
$626 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael vote share?

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael vote share?

45%

3.25-4%

$558 Vol.
$579 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?

47%

<2.75%

$608 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Labour Vote Share?

31%

40-45%

$5k Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
I
Israel Election: Blue and White vote share?

Israel Election: Blue and White vote share?

60%

<0.75%

$2k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month