Trump Day 1 Predictions & Odds· 242 markets

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How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?

74%

1-100

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#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?

#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?

50%

Person 2

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6
Ends in 6 months
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#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?

#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?

50%

Person 3

$181k Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
7
Ends in 6 months
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How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

36%

5

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W
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

68%

China

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What will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival?

What will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival?

55%

Melania

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3
Ends in about 12 hours
T
Trump renames AI by September 30?

Trump renames AI by September 30?

31%

Yes

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21
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Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

91%

September 29

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How long will Trump and Xi shake hands?

How long will Trump and Xi shake hands?

32%

6–10s

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3
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T
Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

5%

Yes

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T
Trump out as President by September 30?

Trump out as President by September 30?

0%

Yes

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W
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

79%

Vladimir Putin

$1.2m Vol.
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Trump bans more news outlets from White House by September 30?

3%

Yes

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T
Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?

14%

December 31

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W
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

0%

Yes

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16
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T
Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by...?

29%

Yes

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T
Trump meets with Putin by...?

Trump meets with Putin by...?

77%

December 31

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2
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Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of Xi summit?

1%

Yes

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W
Who will Trump meet with in September?

Who will Trump meet with in September?

88%

Elon Musk

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Who will Trump speak to in September?

Who will Trump speak to in September?

97%

Ahmed al-Sharaa

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