Synopsys Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

28%

Google

$59k Vol.
$60k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - greater valuation growth September 2026

49%

Anthropic

$342 Vol.
$62 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

95%

Iran

$6k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
A
Anthropic’s valuation end of October 2026?

Anthropic’s valuation end of October 2026?

38%

$1.50-$1.75T

$4k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

52%

Anthropic

$5k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
A
Anthropic’s valuation end of September 2026?

75%

$1.25-$1.50T

$1k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?

86%

Anthropic

$23k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

88%

Anthropic

$82k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
T
Third-best AI Lab end of November?

Third-best AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$5k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-best AI Lab end of November?

Second-best AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$8k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?

77%

Anthropic

$23k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

46%

October 31

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
A
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

47%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$8k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
S
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$4k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?

88%

Anthropic

$62k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

27%

OpenAI

$9k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

78%

Anthropic

$24k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
Next Claude Opus released on...?

Next Claude Opus released on...?

40%

September 21

$49k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of September?

88%

Anthropic

$64k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 10 days