Socialist Party Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

S
Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee

78%

Raphael Glucksmann

$60k Vol.
$121k Liq.
12
Ends in 7 months
L
Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

1%

Amal Movement (Amal)

$677k Vol.
$270k Liq.
14
Ends in about 1 month
F
French Socialist Primary: First Round Winner

86%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$5k Vol.
$60k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
F
French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place

72%

Olivier Faure

$5k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
W
Will the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?

36%

Yes

$645 Vol.
$198 Liq.
2
Ends in 15 days
L
Latvia Parliamentary Election: Which parties win seats?

98%

National Alliance (NA)

$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
L
Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner

Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner

95%

AS

$238k Vol.
$230k Liq.
7
Ends in 8 days
I
Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?

41%

<2.75%

$608 Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?

27%

S + MP

$28k Vol.
$231k Liq.
4
Ends in 10 months
H
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Labour Vote Share?

38%

40-45%

$6k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
F
France United Left Primary Winner

France United Left Primary Winner

93%

Canceled

$229k Vol.
$120k Liq.
31
Ends in 6 months
H
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Green Vote Share?

21%

30-35%

$5k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
L
Latvian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

50%

Party A

$31k Vol.
$125k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
M
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Elections: SPD # of seats?

96%

26-29

$88k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ended
I
Israel Election: Religious Zionist Party–Zehut vote share?

39%

4-5%

$2k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

84%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$166k Vol.
$107k Liq.
11
Ends in 4 months
A
Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?

62%

Yes

$38k Vol.
$5k Liq.
20
Ends in 9 months
S
SER Seat Count after French Senate Election?

55%

59-61

$16k Vol.
$19k Liq.
1
Ends in 17 days
M
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Elections: AfD # of seats?

93%

32-35

$73k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ended
B
Berlin State Elections: AfD # of seats?

99%

29-31

$105k Vol.
$25k Liq.
7
Ended