Socialist Party Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

S
Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee

78%

Raphael Glucksmann

$60k Vol.
$129k Liq.
12
Ends in 7 months
L
Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

1%

Amal Movement (Amal)

$678k Vol.
$272k Liq.
14
Ends in about 1 month
F
French Socialist Primary: First Round Winner

87%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$5k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in 14 days
F
French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place

73%

Olivier Faure

$5k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 14 days
W
Will the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?

36%

Yes

$645 Vol.
$204 Liq.
2
Ends in 14 days
L
Latvia Parliamentary Election: Which parties win seats?

98%

National Alliance (NA)

$2k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
L
Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner

Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner

96%

AS

$239k Vol.
$238k Liq.
7
Ends in 8 days
I
Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?

41%

<2.75%

$608 Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?

30%

S + MP

$29k Vol.
$246k Liq.
4
Ends in 10 months
H
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Labour Vote Share?

41%

40-45%

$6k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
F
France United Left Primary Winner

France United Left Primary Winner

93%

Canceled

$229k Vol.
$122k Liq.
31
Ends in 6 months
H
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Green Vote Share?

23%

30-35%

$5k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
L
Latvian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

50%

Party A

$32k Vol.
$123k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
M
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Elections: SPD # of seats?

95%

26-29

$88k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ended
I
Israel Election: Religious Zionist Party–Zehut vote share?

36%

6%+

$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

84%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$169k Vol.
$106k Liq.
12
Ends in 4 months
A
Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?

60%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$1k Liq.
20
Ends in 9 months
S
SER Seat Count after French Senate Election?

53%

59-61

$16k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in 16 days
M
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Elections: AfD # of seats?

93%

32-35

$74k Vol.
$946 Liq.
1
Ended
I
Israel Election: Unity vote share?

Israel Election: Unity vote share?

99%

<0.5%

$2k Vol.
$44k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month