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Senate Midterms Predictions & Odds· 106 markets

AllPoliticsTrumpElectionsDemocratic PartyUnited StatesDepec US ElectionsCongressUS ElectionGlobal ElectionsSenatePollingNate SilverSherrod BrownMargin Of VictoryTurnoutParlaysMidtermsEarn 4%MidtermHouse ElectionsOhio MidtermAlaska MidtermGeorgia MidtermIllinois MidtermIowa MidtermKansas MidtermMichigan MidtermNebraska MidtermTexas MidtermSenate MidtermsMain ElectionSenate RacesJames TalaricoUSA ElectionMidterm MOVAbdul El SayedTroy JacksonJosh TurekAshley HinsonJon OssoffMike CollinsDan OsbornPete RickettsMary PeltolaMaine SenateAdam HamiltonRoger Marshall
W
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Politics·Senate

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

61%

Democratic Party

$4.8m Vol.
$670k Liq.
142
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which party will win the House in 2026?

Politics·Parent For Derivative

Which party will win the House in 2026?

93%

Democratic Party

$11.8m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$207k today
1
Ends in about 1 month
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Elections·Parlays

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

2%

Yes

$178k Vol.
$23k Liq.
10
Ends in 4 months
H
How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?

Politics·Midterms

How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?

31%

47–49 and 193–207

$39k Vol.
$177k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Politics·United States

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

60%

Democrats Sweep

$12.7m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$94k today
292
Ends in about 1 month
D
Dems' best tossup Senate race?

Politics·Senate

Dems' best tossup Senate race?

44%

Michigan

$4k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
G
GOP's worst Great Plains Senate Race (IA, NE, KS)?

Politics·Senate

GOP's worst Great Plains Senate Race (IA, NE, KS)?

46%

Iowa

$658 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
Closest Senate Race?

Politics·Senate

Closest Senate Race?

14%

Iowa

$45k Vol.
$144k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which Senate races will be within 5%?

Politics·Senate

Which Senate races will be within 5%?

77%

Texas

$68k Vol.
$192k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which Senate races will be within 1%?

Politics·Senate

Which Senate races will be within 1%?

24%

Iowa

$6k Vol.
$144k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
F
First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Senate Election?

Politics·Midterms

First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Senate Election?

96%

Yes

$169 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

Politics·Polling

Which party will win young men in the midterms?

79%

Democrats

$2k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
B
Blue wave in 2026?

Politics·Congress

Blue wave in 2026?

86%

Yes

$70k Vol.
$13k Liq.
11
Ends in 4 months
B
Blue tsunami in 2026?

Politics·US Election

Blue tsunami in 2026?

52%

Yes

$37k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Politics·Trump

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

96%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$752 Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
R
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Elections·Midterms

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

37%

≤47

$2.9m Vol.
$299k Liq.
11
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

Politics·democratic party

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

58%

Yes

$23k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
I
Illinois Senate Election: Turnout

Politics·turnout

Illinois Senate Election: Turnout

39%

4.25M-4.5M

$9k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by...?

Politics·Senate

Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by...?

41%

September 30

$1k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Texas Senate Election: Turnout

Politics·turnout

Texas Senate Election: Turnout

28%

9.6M-10M

$5k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

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Popular Senate Midterms Predictions

Iowa Senate Election WinnerGeorgia Senate Election WinnerNew Hampshire Senate Election WinnerOhio Senate Election WinnerAlaska Senate Election WinnerFlorida Senate Election WinnerMaine Senate Election WinnerMississippi Senate Election WinnerNebraska Senate Election Winner Kansas Senate Election WinnerSouth Dakota Senate Election: TurnoutSouth Dakota Senate Election Margin of VictoryMinnesota Senate Election WinnerMichigan Senate Election WinnerWest Virginia Senate Election Margin of Victory

New Senate Midterms Predictions

Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)Minnesota Senate Election Margin of VictoryFlorida Senate Election: Broward County WinnerTexas Senate Election: Fort Bend County WinnerTexas Senate Election: Collin County WinnerTexas Senate Election: Tarrant County WinnerMichigan Senate Election: Oakland County WinnerMichigan Senate Election: Kent County WinnerMichigan Senate Election: Genesee County WinnerFlorida Senate Election: Miami-Dade County WinnerMassachusetts Senate Election: TurnoutTexas Senate Election: TurnoutVirginia Senate Election: TurnoutWest Virginia Senate Election: TurnoutWyoming Senate Election: Turnout