Secretary Of Labor Predictions & Odds· 168 markets

P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

22%

Yes

$475k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?

0%

Yes

$20k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
H
Hung Cao confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by...?

62%

December 31

$3k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

18%

Yes

$21k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
G
Georgia Secretary of State Election Winner

Georgia Secretary of State Election Winner

51%

Tim Fleming (R)

$5k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?

7%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Arizona Secretary of State Election Winner

Arizona Secretary of State Election Winner

86%

Democrat

$3k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Indiana Secretary of State Election Winner

Indiana Secretary of State Election Winner

57%

Beau Bayh (D)

$3k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Wisconsin Secretary of State Election Winner

Wisconsin Secretary of State Election Winner

84%

JoCasta Zamarripa (D)

$974 Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
O
Ohio Secretary of State Election Winner

Ohio Secretary of State Election Winner

60%

Robert Sprague (R)

$5k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
Nevada Secretary of State Election Winner

Nevada Secretary of State Election Winner

86%

Cisco Aguilar (D)

$1k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
Michigan Secretary of State Election Winner

Michigan Secretary of State Election Winner

88%

Garlin Gilchrist (D)

$4k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?

7%

Yes

$247 Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

52%

Rebeca Grynspan

$206k Vol.
$107k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
W
Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

United Nations

Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

43%

Rebeca Grynspan

$85k Vol.
$5k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
R
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

20%

Yes

$25k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
RFK Jr. Out by October 31?

RFK Jr. Out by October 31?

25%

Yes

$962 Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?

Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?

50%

Candidate A

$2k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

18%

7.3M to 7.4M

$25k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ended
W
Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?

50%

Candidate O

$467k Vol.
$344k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months