Secretary Of Homeland Security Predictions & Odds· 115 markets

P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

22%

Yes

$476k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

17%

Yes

$21k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
Ohio Secretary of State Election Winner

Ohio Secretary of State Election Winner

56%

Robert Sprague (R)

$5k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
G
Georgia Secretary of State Election Winner

Georgia Secretary of State Election Winner

50%

Person A

$5k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?

6%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Wisconsin Secretary of State Election Winner

Wisconsin Secretary of State Election Winner

84%

JoCasta Zamarripa (D)

$974 Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
Nevada Secretary of State Election Winner

Nevada Secretary of State Election Winner

86%

Cisco Aguilar (D)

$1k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
Michigan Secretary of State Election Winner

Michigan Secretary of State Election Winner

88%

Garlin Gilchrist (D)

$4k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Indiana Secretary of State Election Winner

Indiana Secretary of State Election Winner

58%

Beau Bayh (D)

$3k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
Hung Cao confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by...?

60%

December 31

$3k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?

0%

Yes

$20k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?

7%

Yes

$247 Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Arizona Secretary of State Election Winner

Arizona Secretary of State Election Winner

86%

Democrat

$3k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

69%

Rebeca Grynspan

$210k Vol.
$104k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
W
Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

United Nations

Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

43%

Rebeca Grynspan

$85k Vol.
$6k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
K
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

3%

Yes

$23k Vol.
$21k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

63%

None before 2027

$83k Vol.
$266k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump renames ICE to NICE by...?

Trump renames ICE to NICE by...?

6%

Yes

$242k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
P
Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

Politics

Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

5%

Yes

$171k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
When will Trump announce a new White House Press Secretary?

21%

October 14

$249k Vol.
$45k Liq.
1
Ends in about 20 hours