Secretary Of Homeland Security Predictions & Odds· 114 markets

P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

19%

Yes

$481k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?

4%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
O
Ohio Secretary of State Election Winner

Ohio Secretary of State Election Winner

60%

Robert Sprague (R)

$6k Vol.
$767 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
G
Georgia Secretary of State Election Winner

Georgia Secretary of State Election Winner

50%

Person A

$5k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
Michigan Secretary of State Election Winner

Michigan Secretary of State Election Winner

88%

Garlin Gilchrist (D)

$4k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
Hung Cao confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by...?

63%

December 31

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Wisconsin Secretary of State Election Winner

Wisconsin Secretary of State Election Winner

84%

JoCasta Zamarripa (D)

$984 Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?

10%

Yes

$248 Vol.
$709 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
Nevada Secretary of State Election Winner

Nevada Secretary of State Election Winner

86%

Cisco Aguilar (D)

$1k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Indiana Secretary of State Election Winner

Indiana Secretary of State Election Winner

56%

Beau Bayh (D)

$3k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Arizona Secretary of State Election Winner

Arizona Secretary of State Election Winner

86%

Democrat

$3k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

17%

Yes

$21k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

65%

Rebeca Grynspan

$210k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
W
Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

United Nations

Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

56%

Rebeca Grynspan

$85k Vol.
$6k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
K
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

3%

Yes

$23k Vol.
$10k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
R
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

17%

Yes

$25k Vol.
$794 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

60%

None before 2027

$84k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump renames ICE to NICE by...?

Trump renames ICE to NICE by...?

6%

Yes

$242k Vol.
$1k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
P
Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

Politics

Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

4%

Yes

$171k Vol.
$438 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Israeli Minister of National Security?

70%

No Next Minister by Feb 28

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 months