Rocket Launch Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

R
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?

9%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

96%

October 31

$703k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
A
Another Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?

Another Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?

11%

Yes

$398 Vol.
$333 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

53%

<5

$514k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?

Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?

16%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$639 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
S
SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?

SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?

75%

June 30, 2027

$9k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$333 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
H
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

76%

140-159

$334k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Saturn FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Saturn FDV above ___ one day after launch?

69%

$50M

$19k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
H
How many SpaceX launches in September 2026?

98%

<12

$4k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
What will SpaceX (SPCX) hit in September 2026?

64%

↑ $160

$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
N
Number of North Korea Missile Tests in September 2026?

41%

3

$44k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
N
Neutrl FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Neutrl FDV above ___ one day after launch?

23%

$20M

$26k Vol.
$150k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?

66%

December 31, 2027

$995k Vol.
$67k Liq.
45
Ends in over 1 year
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

40%

December 31, 2027

$564k Vol.
$6k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
S
Slingshot FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Slingshot FDV above ___ one day after launch?

56%

$8M

$12k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
C
China ballistic missile launch by December 31?

19%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
D
Decibel FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Decibel FDV above ___ one day after launch?

72%

$20M

$15k Vol.
$50k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
A
Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?

42%

$200M

$475k Vol.
$195k Liq.
14
Ends in over 1 year
H
Hurupay FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Hurupay FDV above ___ one day after launch?

8%

$5M

$256k Vol.
$210k Liq.
12
Ends in 3 months