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Rocket Launch Predictions & Odds· 110 markets

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Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?

Culture·Big Tech

Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?

No

$40k Vol.
$0 Liq.
11
Ended
W
Will the Blue Origin New Glenn rocket explode during November 13 launch?

Tech·Science

Will the Blue Origin New Glenn rocket explode during November 13 launch?

No

$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
F
friend.tech FDV one day after launch?

Crypto·Prices

friend.tech FDV one day after launch?

<$1b / No token in 2024

$157k Vol.
$0 Liq.
73
Ended
S
SpaceX 4th Starship launch reaches space?

Science · SpaceX

SpaceX 4th Starship launch reaches space?

Yes

$572 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
SpaceX 4th Starship launch survives re-entry?

Science · outer space

SpaceX 4th Starship launch survives re-entry?

Yes

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9

SpaceX · Elon Musk

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9

Super Heavy explodes?

$441k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
N
NASA Artemis II

Culture·Science

NASA Artemis II

April 30

$1.0m Vol.
$3k Liq.
133
Ended
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11

Tech·SpaceX

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11

October 31

$136k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

Culture·SpaceX

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

By May 31

$2.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13

Culture·SpaceX

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13

July 31

$887k Vol.
$0 Liq.
W
Will SpaceX successfully launch and land Starship SN15 by April 28, 2021?

All

Will SpaceX successfully launch and land Starship SN15 by April 28, 2021?

$45k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10

Tech·SpaceX

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10

Super Heavy booster explodes?

$776k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will SpaceX successfully launch and land Starship SN15 by May 11, 2021?

All

Will SpaceX successfully launch and land Starship SN15 by May 11, 2021?

$41k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8

Tech·Elon Musk

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8

Chopsticks catch Super Heavy?

$519k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$
$SAFE Market Cap (FDV) one week after launch?

Crypto·Crypto Prices

$SAFE Market Cap (FDV) one week after launch?

$1-2b

$117k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
N
Number of North Korea Missile Tests in August 2026?

Geopolitics·Kim Jong Un

Number of North Korea Missile Tests in August 2026?

<4

$45k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
M
Monad FDV one day after launch?

Crypto·FDV

Monad FDV one day after launch?

>$2B

$53.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,265
Ended
L
Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

Crypto·FDV

Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

>$2B

$106.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
2,155
Ended
N
NASA Escapade launch by December 31?

Culture·Science

NASA Escapade launch by December 31?

Yes

$27k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 7

SpaceX · Science

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 7

Reaches space?

$1.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

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