Rocket Launch Predictions & Odds· 112 markets

R
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?

9%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$937 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

96%

October 31

$703k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
A
Another Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?

Another Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?

11%

Yes

$398 Vol.
$335 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

53%

<5

$514k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?

SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?

75%

June 30, 2027

$9k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
N
Number of North Korea Missile Tests in September 2026?

43%

2

$44k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
B
Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?

Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?

15%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$539 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$333 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
H
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

76%

140-159

$334k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many SpaceX launches in September 2026?

97%

<12

$4k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
What will SpaceX (SPCX) hit in September 2026?

64%

↑ $160

$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?

66%

December 31, 2027

$995k Vol.
$67k Liq.
45
Ends in over 1 year
T
Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?

Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?

52%

December 31, 2027

$71k Vol.
$6k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
C
China ballistic missile launch by December 31?

19%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

40%

December 31, 2027

$564k Vol.
$6k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
R
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?

No

$40k Vol.
$0 Liq.
11
Ended
F
friend.tech FDV one day after launch?

<$1b / No token in 2024

$157k Vol.
$0 Liq.
73
Ended
S
SpaceX 4th Starship launch reaches space?

Science · SpaceX

SpaceX 4th Starship launch reaches space?

Yes

$572 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
SpaceX 4th Starship launch survives re-entry?

Science · outer space

SpaceX 4th Starship launch survives re-entry?

Yes

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended