Rocket Launch Predictions & Odds· 113 markets

R
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?

9%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

96%

October 31

$704k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
A
Another Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?

Another Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?

11%

Yes

$398 Vol.
$327 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
Number of North Korea Missile Tests in September 2026?

39%

2

$45k Vol.
$88k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
H
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

55%

<5

$514k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?

Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?

14%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$573 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

15%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$355 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
H
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

78%

140-159

$334k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will SpaceX (SPCX) hit in September 2026?

64%

↑ $160

$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
T
Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?

Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?

53%

December 31, 2027

$71k Vol.
$7k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
C
China ballistic missile launch by December 31?

18%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

39%

December 31, 2027

$564k Vol.
$6k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
R
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?

No

$40k Vol.
$0 Liq.
11
Ended
F
friend.tech FDV one day after launch?

<$1b / No token in 2024

$157k Vol.
$0 Liq.
73
Ended
S
SpaceX 4th Starship launch reaches space?

Science · SpaceX

SpaceX 4th Starship launch reaches space?

Yes

$572 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
SpaceX 4th Starship launch survives re-entry?

Science · outer space

SpaceX 4th Starship launch survives re-entry?

Yes

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9

SpaceX · Elon Musk

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9

Super Heavy explodes?

$441k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
N
NASA Artemis II

NASA Artemis II

April 30

$1.0m Vol.
$3k Liq.
133
Ended
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11

October 31

$136k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended