Republican Primary Predictions & Odds· 526 markets

L
LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

3%

Misti Cordell

$64k Vol.
$60k Liq.
1
Ended
R
Republican VP Nominee 2028

Republican VP Nominee 2028

30%

Marco Rubio

$47k Vol.
$881k Liq.
1
Ends in almost 2 years
W
Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?

40%

Yes

$109 Vol.
$90 Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
F
French Socialist Primary: First Round Winner

89%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$5k Vol.
$60k Liq.
Ends in 20 days
F
French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place

68%

Olivier Faure

$5k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 20 days
W
Will the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?

35%

Yes

$645 Vol.
$299 Liq.
2
Ends in 20 days
H
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

35%

22–23

$696k Vol.
$76k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?

5%

Yes

$82k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
N
Nebraska Governor Election Margin of Victory

Nebraska Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$4k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
G
GOP's worst Great Plains Senate Race (IA, NE, KS)?

44%

Iowa

$664 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Rhode Island Senate Election Margin of Victory

74%

Democrat 30%+

$5k Vol.
$82k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Iowa Governor Election Margin of Victory

Iowa Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$4k Vol.
$59k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
Nevada Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$8k Vol.
$62k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
N
Nebraska Senate Election Margin of Victory

50%

Democrat wins

$3k Vol.
$59k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
P
Pennsylvania Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$5k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
K
Kansas Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$3k Vol.
$63k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
R
Rhode Island Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$5k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
K
Kansas Senate Election Margin of Victory

Kansas Senate Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$5k Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Wisconsin Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$8k Vol.
$80k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month