Republican National Convention Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

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Guinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner

Politics · World

Guinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner

28%

Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”

$160k Vol.
$13k Liq.
6
Ended
N
National Rally Group Seat Count after French Senate Election?

26%

13+

$9k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
N
National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?

85%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$9k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
N
Next President of the National Rally in 2026?

98%

Jordan Bardella

$13k Vol.
$74k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Republican VP Nominee 2028

Republican VP Nominee 2028

30%

Marco Rubio

$48k Vol.
$915k Liq.
1
Ends in almost 2 years
W
Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?

40%

Yes

$109 Vol.
$86 Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
L
LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

6%

Michael Echols

$64k Vol.
$61k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

89%

Democrats

$5k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
G
GOP Black vote share?

GOP Black vote share?

28%

8–9%

$3k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?

Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?

94%

↓ 7%

$42k Vol.
$104k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

53%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$832 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Jim Jordan run for Republican House Leader?

65%

Yes

$391 Vol.
$58 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
R
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

28%

Below 190

$312k Vol.
$204k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
R
Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?

Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?

53%

↓ 30%

$31k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?

96%

JD Vance

$4k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans lose any "Safe Republican" Senate race?

23%

Yes

$130 Vol.
$107 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which party will win white voters in the midterms?

85%

Republicans

$3k Vol.
$40k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

99%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months