Republican National Convention Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

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Guinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner

Politics · World

Guinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner

42%

Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”

$161k Vol.
$5k Liq.
6
Ended
N
National Rally Group Seat Count after French Senate Election?

30%

13+

$9k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
W
Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?

2%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 years
N
National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?

84%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$638 Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
N
Next President of the National Rally in 2026?

98%

Jordan Bardella

$13k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?

40%

Yes

$109 Vol.
$87 Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
L
LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

5%

Michael Echols

$64k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

89%

Democrats

$5k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
G
GOP Black vote share?

GOP Black vote share?

30%

10–11%

$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?

Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?

99%

↓ 8%

$50k Vol.
$92k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

53%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Jim Jordan run for Republican House Leader?

65%

Yes

$391 Vol.
$64 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
R
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

28%

Below 190

$313k Vol.
$109k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
R
Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?

Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?

48%

↑ 40%

$32k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?

96%

JD Vance

$4k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans lose any "Safe Republican" Senate race?

22%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which party will win white voters in the midterms?

90%

Republicans

$7k Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

99%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$954 Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months