Reform Predictions & Odds· 202 markets

C
California Recall Election Reform Proposition

46%

Yes

$373 Vol.
$825 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
N
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?

Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?

28%

March 31, 2027

$278k Vol.
$20k Liq.
24
Ends in 6 months
W
What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

95%

-No Qualifying Event-

$31k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$1000k Vol.
$270k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
C
California voter ID referendum passes?

California voter ID referendum passes?

32%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$162 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
2
2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Reform wins ___ seats?

1600+

$122k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended
I
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?

No

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
836
Ended
W
Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election?

No

$564k Vol.
$0 Liq.
13
Ended
R
Reform share of votes in UK election?

11-15%

$42k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
N
Nigel Farage out as Leader of Reform before March?

No

$28k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
W
What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Mr. Speaker 10+ times

$19k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Mr. Speaker 10+ times

$76k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy Tour?

Mentions · Politics

What will Bernie Sanders say during Fighting Oligarchy Tour?

Percent / Percenter 11+ times

$22k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 25 - May 31)

Trump

$17k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
2
2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: 2nd Place

Labour

$294k Vol.
$0 Liq.
43
Ended
W
Wales Parliamentary Election Winner

Plaid Cymru

$325k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9
Ended
W
Which party wins control of the most London borough councils?

Labour

$229k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
2
2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Party Winner

Reform

$968k Vol.
$0 Liq.
19
Ended