Reform Uk Predictions & Odds· 123 markets

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Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?

Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?

28%

March 31, 2027

$278k Vol.
$20k Liq.
24
Ends in 6 months
U
UK election called by...?

UK · pedophile

UK election called by...?

27%

June 30, 2027

$827k Vol.
$3k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
H
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Green Vote Share?

23%

35-40%

$4k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
S
September Inflation UK - Annual

UK · CPI

September Inflation UK - Annual

59%

3.4-3.6%

$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
W
What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

95%

-No Qualifying Event-

$31k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
H
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Labour Vote Share?

31%

40-45%

$5k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
W
What will be in the UK Budget?

What will be in the UK Budget?

61%

CGT increase

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory

50%

Another candidate wins

$3k Vol.
$82k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
M
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?

100%

Up

$1k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ended
H
How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?

72%

6

$32k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

40%

0.4–0.5%

$22k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

$111k Vol.
$153k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
U
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

89%

1-2%

$93k Vol.
$12k Liq.
1
Ends in 5 months
A
Andy Burnham out as UK PM by...?

Andy Burnham out as UK PM by...?

6%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
UK Recession in 2026?

UK Recession in 2026?

13%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$419 Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
U
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026

U.K. Annual Inflation 2026

44%

3.5–3.9%

$121k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
2
2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Reform wins ___ seats?

1600+

$122k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended
2
2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: 2nd Place

Labour

$294k Vol.
$0 Liq.
43
Ended
W
Wales Parliamentary Election Winner

Plaid Cymru

$325k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9
Ended
W
Which party wins control of the most London borough councils?

Labour

$229k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended