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Reconciliation Predictions & Odds· 114 markets

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W
Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15?

All

Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15?

$47k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by...?

Politics·DHS

Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by...?

June 15

$64k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?

Politics·Congress

Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?

June 30

$265k Vol.
$0 Liq.
21
Ended
W
Which senators vote for the next reconciliation bill?

Politics·Big Beautiful Bill

Which senators vote for the next reconciliation bill?

Mitch McConnell

$60k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will 51+ senators vote for the next reconciliation bill?

Politics·Congress

Will 51+ senators vote for the next reconciliation bill?

No

$14k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
H
How many votes will Reconciliation bill get in the House?

Politics·Big Beautiful Bill

How many votes will Reconciliation bill get in the House?

217–218

$110k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
W
When will the reconciliation bill pass?

Politics·Big Beautiful Bill

When will the reconciliation bill pass?

July 1-6

$274k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9
Ended
R
Reconciliation bill passed by...?

Politics·Senate

Reconciliation bill passed by...?

July 31

$1.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
275
Ended
W
What will be in the next reconciliation bill?

Politics·Trump

What will be in the next reconciliation bill?

End Tax on Tips

$321k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
W
When will Trump sign the Big Beautiful Bill into Law?

Politics·Trump Presidency

When will Trump sign the Big Beautiful Bill into Law?

July 4

$135k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
T
Trump signs Big Beautiful Bill into law by...?

Politics·Trump Presidency

Trump signs Big Beautiful Bill into law by...?

July 4

$106k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended
T
Trump and Marjorie Taylor Greene publicly reconcile by December 31?

Politics·Trump

Trump and Marjorie Taylor Greene publicly reconcile by December 31?

No

$23k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
T
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before August?

Politics·Trump Presidency

Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before August?

No

$40k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
T
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?

Politics·Trump vs Elon

Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?

No

$1.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
356
Ended
T
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?

Politics·Elon Musk

Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?

No

$477k Vol.
$0 Liq.
32
Ended
T
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?

Politics·Campaign Promises

Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?

No

$5.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
234
Ended
M
Maersk resume shipping in Red Sea by...?

All · trade

Maersk resume shipping in Red Sea by...?

June 30

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
27
Ended
I
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

Politics·Hezbollah

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

Yes

$40.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
5,948
Ended
N
Nothing Ever Happens

Politics·South Korea

Nothing Ever Happens

Yes

$1.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
634
Ended
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?

Geopolitics·Russia

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?

No

$3.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
139
Ended

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