Prime Intellect Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

W
Will Prime Intellect launch a token by ___?

31%

September 30, 2027

$13k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
N
New MAI thinking model released by...?

New MAI thinking model released by...?

57%

December 31

$489 Vol.
$359 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

86%

Yes

$168k Vol.
$4k Liq.
33
Ends in 3 months
W
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

15%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$513 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
M
Modi out by December 31, 2026?

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

5%

Yes

$253k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

4%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

10%

Yes

$36k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

99%

$170 billion

$24k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
N
Next UK prime minister?

Keir Starmer

$2.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended
A
Alan Keating VPIP above 85%? - Celebrity poker game

Poker warning · Sports

Alan Keating VPIP above 85%? - Celebrity poker game

Yes

$1k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?

Yes

$1.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
N
Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition

Yes

$169k Vol.
$0 Liq.
36
Ended
'
'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' Opening Weekend Box Office

<$38m

$93k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended
T
Top AI model on April 10? (Style Control On)

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$48k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
M
March Madness: Team from which region wins?

Basketball · March Madness

March Madness: Team from which region wins?

East

$39k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Best AI model on August 31?

Best AI model on August 31?

claude-opus-5-max

$71k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
K
Kyrie Irving 30+ points in every game of NBA Finals?

No

$1k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
K
Kyrie Irving 20+ points in every game of NBA Finals?

NBA · Basketball

Kyrie Irving 20+ points in every game of NBA Finals?

No

$205 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
T
Top AI model on April 17? (Style Control On)

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$59k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Best AI model on August 10?

Best AI model on August 10?

Other

$112k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended