Primary Ballot Predictions & Odds· 500 markets

M
Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?

33%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$310 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?

32%

Yes

$576 Vol.
$297 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?

48%

Yes

$623 Vol.
$578 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
N
Nevada Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$8k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
O
Oregon Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$7k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
A
Arizona Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$6k Vol.
$61k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
N
Nebraska Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$4k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
C
Colorado Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$9k Vol.
$64k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
2
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

96%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$425k Vol.
$441k Liq.
103
Ends in 9 months
I
Illinois Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$6k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
I
Idaho Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$15k Vol.
$87k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
P
Pennsylvania Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$5k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Wisconsin Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$8k Vol.
$80k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
M
Minnesota Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$5k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
M
Michigan Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$4k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
K
Kansas Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$4k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
A
Arkansas Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$9k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
2
2027 French Presidential Election: Attal vs Philippe

70%

Édouard Philippe

$6k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
V
Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$3k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
M
Massachusetts Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$2k Vol.
$61k Liq.
Ends in 9 months