Presidential Primary Predictions & Odds· 134 markets

S
South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary Winner

50%

Candidate A

$19k Vol.
$152k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
F
France United Left Primary Winner

France United Left Primary Winner

94%

Canceled

$230k Vol.
$121k Liq.
31
Ends in 6 months
F
French Socialist Primary: First Round Winner

83%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$5k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 14 days
W
Will the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?

28%

Yes

$969 Vol.
$176 Liq.
2
Ends in 14 days
F
French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place

72%

Olivier Faure

$5k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 14 days
W
Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?

40%

Yes

$109 Vol.
$89 Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District

91%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$37k Vol.
$232k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Acre

99%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$11k Vol.
$279k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais

62%

Lula

$37k Vol.
$303k Liq.
3
Ends in 8 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Alagoas

98%

Lula

$15k Vol.
$293k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Tocantins

54%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$29k Vol.
$222k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in São Paulo

97%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$27k Vol.
$211k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner

73%

Lula

$258k Vol.
$634k Liq.
8
Ends in 8 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Norte

99%

Lula

$13k Vol.
$237k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Turnout

52%

78-80%

$638 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio de Janeiro

93%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$25k Vol.
$231k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Espírito Santo

93%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$21k Vol.
$206k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?

50%

Person A

$20k Vol.
$169k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 years
W
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?

4%

Yes

$34k Vol.
$9k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Pará

94%

Lula

$20k Vol.
$243k Liq.
Ends in 8 days