Presidential Primary Predictions & Odds· 136 markets

S
South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary Winner

50%

Candidate A

$18k Vol.
$138k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
F
France United Left Primary Winner

France United Left Primary Winner

94%

Canceled

$229k Vol.
$101k Liq.
31
Ends in 6 months
F
French Socialist Primary: First Round Winner

88%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$5k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
W
Will the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?

36%

Yes

$645 Vol.
$200 Liq.
2
Ends in 15 days
F
French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place

74%

Olivier Faure

$5k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
W
Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?

39%

Yes

$109 Vol.
$104 Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District

84%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$35k Vol.
$244k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Acre

97%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$11k Vol.
$233k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais

60%

Lula

$37k Vol.
$262k Liq.
3
Ends in 10 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Alagoas

98%

Lula

$14k Vol.
$239k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Tocantins

56%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$29k Vol.
$191k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in São Paulo

95%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$26k Vol.
$224k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner

74%

Lula

$237k Vol.
$591k Liq.
8
Ends in 10 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Norte

98%

Lula

$11k Vol.
$198k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Turnout

56%

78-80%

$115 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio de Janeiro

92%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$25k Vol.
$190k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Espírito Santo

92%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$21k Vol.
$167k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?

51%

J.D. Vance

$20k Vol.
$163k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 years
W
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?

4%

Yes

$34k Vol.
$9k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Pará

93%

Lula

$20k Vol.
$193k Liq.
Ends in 10 days